Annex IV - MPM Model

The Model of Performance and Market (MPM), results from the combination of the ICV and DiffMtoB models, as follows:

MPM=a*[Performance]+b*[Market], with (a+b)=1

Or

MPM=a*[ICV]+b*[DifMtoB], with (a+b)=1

Where:

 

DifMtoB = [(SB1+SB2+SB3)/3 - (BV1+BV2+BV3)/3]

with

SB1=Stock Capitalization for year #1

SB2= Stock Capitalization for year #2

SB3= Stock Capitalization for year #3

BV1= Book Value for year #1

BV2= Book Value for year #2

BV3= Book Value for year #3

 

VIC= {[(TAM*ROAI) – TAM*ROAE]*(1 – TMI)}/Cr

with:

TAM=(A1+A2+A3)/3

A1=Total of Assets for year #1

A2= Total of Assets for year #2

A3= Total of Assets for year #3

RBT=(R1+R2+R3)/3

R1=Income before taxes for year #1

R2= Income before taxes for year #2

R3= Income before taxes for year #3

ROAC=RBT/TAM

ROAI=(Σai/Σri)

ai=Total of assets for company i of industry k

ri=Results before taxes for company i of industry k

TMI = (I1+I2+I3)/3 / (R1+R2+R3)/3

R1= Income before taxes for year #1

R2= Income before taxes for year #2

R3= Income before taxes for year #3

Cr = Capitalization rate(1)

 

a and b are the variables that combine  ICV and DiffMtoB

 

 

 

 

 

(1) This rate is an important element that contributes to the result of the model; therefore it must carefully be fixed. The ideal would be to get a rate for each company, but because it is very complicated, we must find a rate to each industry. We should remember that Ta=r0+βi(rm-r0) where r0 is the rate of remuneration of the capital without risk of danger; rm is the rate of remuneration in the market; and βi the level of risk of the industry in cause. In this measure, the future value of the company will have to vary according to the risk of industry.